Stellar's (XLM) August Price Trajectory Following a 68% Monthly Surge

Stellar's (XLM) August Price Trajectory Following a 68% Monthly Surge

Stellar (XLM) Faces Potential Upside, Despite Historically Bearish August

Stellar (XLM), the eighth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, is currently trading at $0.38, following a 8% decrease in the last 24 hours and a 14% drop over the past two weeks. Despite this downward trend, technical analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal for XLM in the coming weeks.

Historically, August has been a bearish month for XLM, with the token closing in the green only twice (in 2017 and 2021). However, the recent decline has pulled XLM's price below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.40, a level that typically indicates a shift in short-term market sentiment from bullish to bearish.

Despite this, technical analysis in mid-2025 highlighted bullish patterns such as a bullish flag and golden cross formation, which suggest potential for a strong rebound later in August. If the breakout of the bullish flag is maintained, XLM may retest the $0.41 level.

Notably, XLM outperformed top players like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) during the strong rally in July, ending the month with a 68% increase. The token's market capitalisation currently stands at $11.90 billion.

Analysts project a wide range for XLM's price in 2025, with potential for a rise to about $0.79, but also acknowledging downside risks with possible declines continuing if bearish pressure persists. Stellar’s ongoing adoption efforts, especially in cross-border payments and Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) initiatives, support its medium-term fundamentals.

However, it's important to note that market conditions can change rapidly, and readers are encouraged to verify information and consult with a professional before making decisions based on this content. A break below the $0.36 support level could extend the decline to $0.32.

Ali Martinez, a popular crypto analyst, suggests a potential flag-and-pole pattern breakout in XLM, which could lead to a price increase to $0.80. If this breakout occurs, it could mark a significant turnaround for XLM in the second half of August.

In summary, while August has historically been a weak month for Stellar with expected pullbacks following strong rallies, technical signals in 2025 suggest a possible bullish reversal mid- to late-August. For 2025 overall, price could fluctuate substantially between about $0.32 on the low side and up to $0.79 or $0.80 in a bullish scenario.

This report is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is volatile, and readers should exercise caution and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

References:

[1] CoinMarketCap. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Chart. Retrieved from https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/stellar/

[2] Martinez, A. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction: Is a Breakout Imminent? Retrieved from https://www.newsbtc.com/2025/08/05/stellar-xlm-price-prediction-is-a-breakout-imminent/

[3] Yahoo Finance. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Forecast. Retrieved from https://finance.yahoo.com/predict/STOX/XLM=X

[4] Investing.com. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Technical Analysis. Retrieved from https://www.investing.com/crypto/stellar-xlm/technical-analysis

[5] CoinDesk. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Analysis: What's Next for XLM? Retrieved from https://www.coindesk.com/analysis/stellar-xlm-price-analysis-whats-next-for-xlm/

The integration of Stellar's technology in space-and-astronomy projects, as well as in finance, could potentially boost its value beyond the $0.80 mark, backed by analyst Ali Martinez's prediction of a flag-and-pole pattern breakout. In the near future, the development and application of technology in fields like cross-border payments and Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) might further support Stellar's fundamentals, drawing interest from investors in the science and finance sectors.

Considering the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market, it is crucial for potential investors to remain informed about Stellar's price movements in space-and-astronomy, finance, and technology, especially when key technical events, such as the golden cross formation and the breakout of a bullish flag, occur.

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