Neglecting the exponential growth of Artificial Intelligence puts us at risk, similar to the threat posed by Covid-19.
It's February 2020, and the world is on the cusp of a technological revolution. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is poised to take on tasks that were once thought to be beyond its reach.
By 2026, AI could autonomously handle tasks that currently take 15 minutes, according to recent predictions. By 2029, this capability could extend to tasks that currently take four hours. And by the early 2030s, AI could potentially handle multi-day tasks. This exponential "rising tide" of AI is something that society is only beginning to understand.
The benefits of AI are increasingly being appreciated, but its risks remain poorly understood. This is where initiatives like the Looking for Growth movement come in. This exciting initiative, with its energy and determination, is pushing forward to increase awareness and understanding of AI. The biggest event for the movement is scheduled for October 23, 2020.
The Looking for Growth movement isn't the only organisation concerned about the future of AI. An organisation called METR recently published a paper titled "Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Tasks." The paper underscores the rapid progress being made in AI capabilities, revealing that since 2019, AI capabilities have doubled every seven months.
However, as AI becomes more advanced, so too do the challenges it presents. The National Health Service (NHS) in the UK risked being overwhelmed by the coronavirus outbreak, leading to lockdown measures being implemented. This underscores the need for careful consideration and planning as we navigate the future of AI.
Admiral Rickover, known as the Father of the Nuclear Navy, offers timely advice in a freshly digitised speech from 1954. His words, particularly applicable to organisations thinking about transformation, especially AI-related, remind us of the importance of integrity, intelligence, and energy. Warren Buffett's quote, "In looking for people to hire, you look for three qualities: integrity, intelligence, and energy. And if you don't have the first, the other two will kill you," resonates even today.
Meanwhile, in San Francisco, the city that was previously said to be dying is currently booming. The city's resurgence serves as a reminder that even in the face of challenges, there is always room for growth and opportunity.
As we move forward into an AI-driven future, it's crucial that we continue to push the boundaries of what's possible, while also remaining mindful of the risks and challenges that lie ahead. The documentary Intelligence Rising, developed to increase awareness of the realities and risks of the global race towards artificial general intelligence (AGI), serves as a reminder of the importance of this balance.
In the end, the future of AI is one that is filled with both promise and uncertainty. But with the right approach, we can ensure that this technology serves as a force for good, driving progress and innovation in ways we can barely imagine.
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