Carbon dioxide removal techniques that exhibit both financial and environmental advantages prove to be intelligent solutions.
Pulling Back the Curtains on Carbon Capture:
The Earth recently passed the 1.5 degrees Celsius mark of warming beyond pre-industrial levels, a significant milestone with consequences including intensified wildfires, droughts, floods, and other climate catastrophes. To keep global warming at bay, the nearly 200 nations part of the Paris Agreement must reduce greenhouse gas emissions drastically and implement carbon dioxide (CO2) removal methods, storing the gas beneath the Earth's surface.
Historically, analyses on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) methods have mainly focused on three strategies: bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), afforestation/reforestation, and direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS). To paint a broader picture of CDR, a recent study from the MIT Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy (CS3) includes two additional methods - biochar and enhanced weathering (EW). The study assesses these five options individually and in combination to determine their capability of achieving the 1.5 C target and potential impacts on land, energy, and costs.
The study is presented in the journal Environmental Research Letters. Utilizing the global multi-region, multi-sector Economic Projection and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, the MIT CS3 researchers arrive at three key findings.
First, a diverse CDR portfolio is the most cost-effective and low-impact strategy for achieving global net-zero emissions, a critical step in reaching the 1.5 C goal. This strategy minimizes overall agricultural land usage and energy consumption while reducing negative impacts such as increased food insecurity and decreased energy supplies.
By diversifying across multiple CDR options, the maximum CO2 removal of around 31.5 gigatons per year is achieved by 2100, while also being the most cost-effective net-zero strategy. The study identifies BECCS and biochar as the most cost-competitive CDR options, followed by EW, with DACCS deemed uncompetitive due to high capital and energy requirements. While presenting logistical challenges, biochar and EW have the potential to improve soil quality and productivity across 45% of all agricultural lands by 2100.
"A diverse CDR portfolio is the most cost-effective net-zero strategy because it avoids relying on a single CDR option, thereby reducing and redistributing negative impacts on agriculture, forestry, and other land uses, as well as on the energy sector," says Solene Chiquier, lead author of the study, who was a CS3 postdoc during its preparation.
The second finding: An optimal CDR portfolio that works efficiently at the global and national levels does not exist. The ideal CDR strategy for a specific region will depend on local technological, economic, and geographical conditions. For example, afforestation and reforestation would be beneficial in regions like Brazil, Latin America, and Africa, by not only sequestering carbon in more protected forest acreage but also contributing to planetary well-being and human health.
"When designing a sustainable, cost-effective CDR portfolio, it is essential to account for regional availability of agricultural, energy, and carbon-storage resources," says Sergey Paltsev, CS3 deputy director, MIT Energy Initiative senior research scientist, and supervising co-author of the study. "Our study underscores the importance of enhancing knowledge about local conditions favoring some CDR options over others."
Finally, the MIT CS3 researchers emphasize that delaying large-scale deployment of CDR portfolios could result in significantly higher carbon prices worldwide, a development that would potentially hinder climate mitigation efforts required to meet the 1.5 C goal. They recommend the prompt implementation of policy and financial incentives to accelerate these efforts.
Understanding the Stakes:
While the study does not directly reference the MIT Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, it aligns with the cost-effective and low-impact CDR strategies derived from related research:
- Diversified CDR Portfolio: Implementing a mix of CDR approaches is the most cost-effective strategy, encompassing:
- Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS): Producing energy from biomass and capturing the CO2, which is then stored underground.
- Afforestation/Reforestation: Planting trees to absorb CO2 from the atmosphere.
- Direct Air Carbon Capture and Storage (DACCS): Technology that captures CO2 directly from the air.
- Biochar: Producing charcoal from biomass and storing it in soil.
- Enhanced Weathering: Accelerating natural chemical reactions that absorb CO2 from the atmosphere [1][4].
- Advanced Carbon Capture Technologies: MIT researchers have developed a nanofiltration membrane system that enhances carbon capture efficiency by up to six times, reducing costs to approximately $450 per ton from $600 per ton [3][5].
- Commercial Utilization of CO2: Using captured CO2 to produce materials like concrete can offer economic benefits while minimizing waste [2].
- Solar Geoengineering: Although considered a last resort, strategies like stratospheric aerosol injection can temporarily cool the Earth but are not usually classified as CDR methods [2].
- The study from the MIT Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy (CS3) suggests a diverse Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) portfolio as the most cost-effective and low-impact strategy for achieving net-zero emissions.
- The study identifies Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) and biochar as the most cost-competitive CDR options, with BECCS producing energy from biomass and capturing CO2, and biochar producing charcoal from biomass and storing it in soil.
- Enhanced Weathering is another CDR method mentioned in the study, which accelerates natural chemical reactions that absorb CO2 from the atmosphere.
- Direct Air Carbon Capture and Storage (DACCS) is another strategy analyzed in the study, though deemed less competitive due to high capital and energy requirements.
- The study, presented in the journal Environmental Research Letters, also includes afforestation/reforestation as a CDR method, which involves planting trees to absorb CO2 from the atmosphere.
- The researchers emphasize that delaying large-scale deployment of CDR portfolios could result in significantly higher carbon prices worldwide, potentially hindering climate mitigation efforts.
- In the context of climate-change policy, they recommend the prompt implementation of policy and financial incentives to accelerate these efforts.
- Advanced Carbon Capture Technologies, such as a nanofiltration membrane system developed by MIT researchers, can enhance carbon capture efficiency, reducing costs and contributing to sustainable energy solutions.